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Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $437.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $364.3KEvent: Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:47 trades$137.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 143 min agoofficial metadata 130 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $6.0K·3 wallets·$19.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres (NO)$76.3K@ 54¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 21 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Minnesota Twins@ 45.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -43.9pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 57.0¢5h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $91 → $30 · 6s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$2.8K
6h−$63.2K
24h−$50.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h36.7¢▼ below by 36.7pp
VWAP 7d36.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$91.7K
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$4
30¢
$0
25¢
$19.4K
20¢
$3.2K
15¢
$3.6K
10¢
$2.9K
5¢
$7.3K
0¢
← now
$7.7K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres (NO)$76.3K@ 54.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1San Diego Padres$76.3K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafMinnesota Twins$27.2K
BUY VWAP 24.7¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.