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UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

● quote 25s ago
Sports→Closes: about 22 hoursLiquidity: $186.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.9KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
57.5¢
Yan Xiaonan
42.5¢
Denise Gomes
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly5Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$32.5K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDenise Gomes$8.4K@ 42¢·PendulumExchange

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$31
6h
+$4.1K
tracked
$32.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Yan Xiaonan · $4.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Less than 22h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yan Xiaonan" if Yan Xiaonan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Denise Gomes at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Denise Gomes" if Denise Gomes is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yan Xiaonan" if Yan Xiaonan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Denise Gomes at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Denise Gomes" if Denise Gomes is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yan Xiaonan; negative values favor Denise Gomes. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYan Xiaonan · $31
6hYan Xiaonan · $4.1K
24hDenise Gomes · $7.3K

Yan Xiaonan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yan Xiaonan price. Denise Gomes fills are converted to the complementary Yan Xiaonan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h58.4¢▼ below by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d58.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yan Xiaonan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
← now
$40.2K
50¢
$5.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.