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Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $192.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $805.6KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery
0.1¢
James Duckworth
100.0¢
Arthur Fery
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets47Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:115 trades$456.8K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 229 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Fery · $31.1K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$66.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Fery$70.4K@ 88¢·007theone1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$70.9K
tracked
$456.8K

8 verified profitable wallets: Arthur Fery · $31.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 229 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-04 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between James Duckworth and Arthur Fery in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Arthur Fery. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against James Duckworth. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Arthur Fery@ 85.0¢4h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY James Duckworth@ 41.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -27.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Fery@ 60.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +19.0pp
Latest book event: Arthur Fery DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $22.7K → $4.1K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor James Duckworth; negative values favor Arthur Fery. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJames Duckworth · $0
6hArthur Fery · $70.9K
24hArthur Fery · $78.5K

James Duckworth price VWAP

Volume-weighted James Duckworth price. Arthur Fery fills are converted to the complementary James Duckworth probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h19.6¢▼ below by 19.6pp
VWAP 7d19.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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James Duckworth price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$109.1K
35¢
$57.4K
30¢
$5.4K
25¢
$100
20¢
$5.5K
15¢
$28.1K
10¢
$72.8K
5¢
$67.9K
0¢
← now
$110.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLArthur Fery$11.9K@ 99.9¢
Jeffplatter0xb399…608e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
SELLArthur Fery$53.7K@ 99.9¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
SELLArthur Fery$24.9K@ 99.9¢
soccerquant0xfee0…6bb2
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYArthur Fery$67.9K@ 92.3¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYArthur Fery$70.4K@ 87.9¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYArthur Fery$10.1K@ 84.0¢
Ilgato0xbdc3…c0ea
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYArthur Fery$10.3K@ 62.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYJames Duckworth$16.1K@ 42.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYJames Duckworth$12.5K@ 41.7¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYArthur Fery$30.0K@ 60.3¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

007theone1Arthur Fery$138.2K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·2 fills
TantulaArthur Fery$32.4K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Arthur Fery$24.5K
BUY VWAP 60.6¢·3 fills
AV23IUaJames Duckworth$16.1K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Arthur Fery$12.6K
BUY VWAP 66.1¢·2 fills
NiNo999James Duckworth$12.5K
BUY VWAP 41.7¢·1 fill
IlgatoArthur Fery$10.1K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.