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New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $726.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $314.1KEvent: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Sox
49.5¢
New York Mets payout
50.5¢
Chicago White Sox payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:92 trades$125.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 81 min agoofficial metadata 66 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New York Mets · $9.1K net·4 wallets·$38.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$17.3K@ 51¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Mets@ 48.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 52.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +3.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago White Sox DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $49 → $92 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Mets; negative values favor Chicago White Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago White Sox · $7.6K
6hChicago White Sox · $17.0K
24hChicago White Sox · $34.4K

New York Mets price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Mets price. Chicago White Sox fills are converted to the complementary New York Mets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h38.4¢▲ above by 11.1pp
VWAP 7d38.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Mets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.0K
65¢
$6.9K
60¢
$2
55¢
$4.4K
50¢
$18.6K
45¢
← now
$47.1K
40¢
$3.3K
35¢
$6.3K
30¢
$0
25¢
$102
20¢
$1.2K
15¢
$69
10¢
$65
5¢
$19.8K
0¢
$12.8K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLChicago White Sox$12.8K@ 99.9¢
Kev690x1250…8f99
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYChicago White Sox$16.9K@ 92.8¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$17.3K@ 51.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardNew York Mets$23.6K
BUY VWAP 52.9¢·6 fills
0x3dfb…abafChicago White Sox$17.3K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
0b1feChicago White Sox$16.9K
BUY VWAP 92.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.