PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $242.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $103.1KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
66.5¢
Arthur Fils
33.5¢
Frances Tiafoe
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$34.1K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Fils$5.5K@ 65¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$9
6h
+$8.9K
tracked
$34.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Arthur Fils · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Fils; negative values favor Frances Tiafoe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Fils · $9
6hArthur Fils · $8.9K
24hArthur Fils · $8.9K

Arthur Fils price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Fils price. Frances Tiafoe fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Fils probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.5¢
VWAP 24h66.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d66.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Arthur Fils price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$34.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
2.1¢$3.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢$2.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$460.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$415.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?
72.5¢$392.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.