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Athletics vs. Houston Astros

Sports→Settlement: AthleticsLiquidity: $479.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $713.5KEvent: Athletics vs. Houston Astros
100.0¢
Athletics payout
0.0¢
Houston Astros payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:102 trades$274.9K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Athletics · $13.4K net·6 wallets(3🐋)·$106.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAthletics$42.7K@ 64¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Athletics. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Houston Astros, scheduled for August 23 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $32.9K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $8.9K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $7.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Athletics@ 96.7¢43m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Athletics43m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Athletics@ 79.9¢52m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Athletics58m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Athletics DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $51 → $45 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Athletics; negative values favor Houston Astros. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston Astros · $33.7K
6hHouston Astros · $29.7K
24hHouston Astros · $58.9K

Athletics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Athletics price. Houston Astros fills are converted to the complementary Athletics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h46.8¢▲ above by 53.2pp
VWAP 7d46.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Athletics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.7K
90¢
$1.9K
85¢
$16
80¢
$1.3K
75¢
$14.2K
70¢
$8.1K
65¢
$41.2K
60¢
$53.8K
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$11
35¢
$45.9K
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$39.4K
20¢
$36.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.0K
5¢
$21.1K
0¢
$1.4K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAthletics$42.7K@ 64.2¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$39.3K@ 71.7¢
jjj19950x2ba6…644c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$33.8K@ 75.3¢
jjj19950x2ba6…644c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$26.8K@ 30.9¢
jjj19950x2ba6…644c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHouston Astros$12.2K@ 95.0¢
curie0xd1ed…d7cb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAthletics$12.7K@ 38.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYHouston Astros$10.6K@ 62.0¢
dv-pm0x56ac…d77e
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

jjj1995Houston Astros$100.0K
BUY VWAP 53.5¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Athletics$42.7K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafAthletics$32.6K
BUY VWAP 23.3¢·10 fills
HomeRunHazardAthletics$14.6K
BUY VWAP 67.6¢·3 fills
curieHouston Astros$12.2K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·1 fill
dv-pmHouston Astros$10.6K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.