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Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)

● quote 34s ago
Sports→Closes: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $103.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $68.7KEvent: Galatasaray SK vs. Göztepe SK - More Markets
53.5¢
Galatasaray SK
46.5¢
Göztepe SK
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets7Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$25.5K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 112 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Göztepe SK · $1.7K net·3 wallets·$24.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGalatasaray SK$3.8K@ 52¢·plonker2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$941
tracked
$25.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: Göztepe SK · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 112 minutes old.
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://tff.org/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Göztepe SK".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for August 29 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Galatasaray SK" if Galatasaray SK win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Göztepe SK". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on tff.org. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Galatasaray SK; negative values favor Göztepe SK. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGalatasaray SK · $0
6hGöztepe SK · $941
24hGöztepe SK · $941

Galatasaray SK price VWAP

Volume-weighted Galatasaray SK price. Göztepe SK fills are converted to the complementary Galatasaray SK probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h48.1¢▲ above by 5.4pp
VWAP 7d48.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Galatasaray SK price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$7.8K
45¢
$17.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesGöztepe SK$12.8K
BUY VWAP 52.7¢·10 fills
plonker2026Galatasaray SK$11.1K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.