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LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 43 minutesLiquidity: $844.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
0.1¢
T1
100.0¢
BNK FEARX
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly30Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 31 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:327 trades$649.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 51 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 · $937 net·31 wallets(2🐋)·$142.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBNK FEARX$92.1K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

T1 pressure: $5.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.7K
6h
−$89.4K
tracked
$649.8K

31 verified profitable wallets: T1 · $937 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -41.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 51 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from T1 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against BNK FEARX.

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against T1.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between T1 and BNK FEARX in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win Game 2 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $191.4K gross
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A6 linked markets · $190.0K gross
2543217584 linked markets · $149.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 42.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY BNK FEARX2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY T1@ 62.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -60.3pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: BNK FEARX DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $9.8K → $3.4K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor BNK FEARX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $5.7K
6hBNK FEARX · $89.4K
24hBNK FEARX · $89.4K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. BNK FEARX fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h28.1¢▼ below by 28.1pp
VWAP 7d28.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$64.3K
65¢
$62.9K
60¢
$56.6K
55¢
$21.3K
50¢
$27.8K
45¢
$28.3K
40¢
$3.9K
35¢
$3.9K
30¢
$13
25¢
$26.5K
20¢
$24.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$14.4K
5¢
$1.7K
0¢
← now
$313.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBNK FEARX$10.0K@ 99.9¢
Skyfker0x57b4…b46b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLBNK FEARX$24.8K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$39.8K@ 99.9¢
depresssin0xcc77…c035
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$92.1K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$24.8K@ 98.8¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$11.4K@ 52.0¢
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A0xc9a2…77d3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$14.5K@ 37.0¢
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A0xc9a2…77d3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$15.1K@ 33.0¢
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A0xc9a2…77d3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$12.7K@ 31.8¢
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A0xc9a2…77d3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$11.5K@ 29.3¢
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8A0xc9a2…77d3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYT1$18.9K@ 72.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
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Games Total: O/U 4.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaBNK FEARX$92.1K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x7A3f9C2D8b41E6a570F2c93B1d4E8ABNK FEARX$79.7K
BUY VWAP 36.1¢·10 fills
depresssinBNK FEARX$39.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
254321758BNK FEARX$35.1K
BUY VWAP 84.8¢·4 fills
0xf201…527eT1$27.8K
BUY VWAP 51.2¢·5 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaT1$17.0K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.