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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winner

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $384.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $212.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
100.0¢
FURIA
0.1¢
paiN
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly45Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets54Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:51 trades$92.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $4.5K net·4 wallets·$8.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFURIA$12.6K@ 100¢·r5e1q

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

paiN pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.2K
6h
−$797
tracked
$92.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: FURIA · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from paiN or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 23:55 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against paiN.

•This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against FURIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between FURIA and paiN in the BLAST Open Porto Group A, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 1 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against FURIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x29b5…cc6c2 linked markets · $28.7K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $23.9K gross
RIPabloEscobar2 linked markets · $20.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor paiN. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hpaiN · $1.2K
6hpaiN · $797
24hpaiN · $797

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. paiN fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h88.4¢▲ above by 11.6pp
VWAP 7d88.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$51.3K
90¢
$1.9K
85¢
$6.1K
80¢
$1.5K
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$27.3K
65¢
$2.4K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFURIA$12.6K@ 99.9¢
r5e1q0x6401…f240
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA$11.4K@ 99.9¢
backback0x996a…e3cc
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

backbackFURIA$11.4K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.