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Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

● quote 4 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $27.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $26.9KEvent: LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
100.0¢
GIANTX
0.1¢
Team Heretics
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:3 trades$26.5K tracked33% 🐋source coverage 98%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGIANTX$20.5K@ 100¢·verifly

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$14.5K
tracked
$26.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 3 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 72 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX wins 2 or more games than Team Heretics in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Heretics".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and GIANTX in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX wins 2 or more games than Team Heretics in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Heretics". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
darkes12 linked markets · $33.4K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $31.2K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $21.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor GIANTX; negative values favor Team Heretics. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGIANTX · $0
6hTeam Heretics · $14.5K
24hTeam Heretics · $14.5K

GIANTX price VWAP

Volume-weighted GIANTX price. Team Heretics fills are converted to the complementary GIANTX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.6¢▲ above by 13.4pp
VWAP 7d86.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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GIANTX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$20.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$6.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGIANTX$20.5K@ 99.9¢
verifly0x5286…0d47
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.