PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $385.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $264.2KEvent: LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
43.5¢
Natus Vincere
56.5¢
Fnatic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$106.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 50s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNatus Vincere$29.3K@ 43¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Fnatic pressure: $9.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.0K
6h
+$34.2K
tracked
$106.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Natus Vincere · $29.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 53

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Fnatic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic.

•This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Natus Vincere and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 44.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Natus Vincere@ 46.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Natus Vincere; negative values favor Fnatic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFnatic · $9.0K
6hNatus Vincere · $34.2K
24hNatus Vincere · $31.0K

Natus Vincere price VWAP

Volume-weighted Natus Vincere price. Fnatic fills are converted to the complementary Natus Vincere probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h44.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d44.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Natus Vincere price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$20.0K
40¢
← now
$86.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNatus Vincere$29.3K@ 43.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNatus Vincere$15.0K@ 44.2¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
50.5¢$725.4Kpriority29Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevez
5.3¢$476.2Kpriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?
40.5¢$469.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$388.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winner
59.5¢$386.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Roehampton 2: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Oskari Paldanius
100.0¢$385.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$381.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115Natus Vincere$29.3K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaNatus Vincere$29.2K
BUY VWAP 45.1¢·5 fills
StasPandaFnatic$11.1K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.