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Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?

Science→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $23.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $119.5KEvent: Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 21?
1.6¢
YES payout
98.4¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $1.6K net·2 wallets·$1.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$6.7K@ 100¢·lIllIlllIlIl

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $5.5K
6hYES · $21.6K
24hYES · $6.6K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.6¢
VWAP 24h62.6¢▼ below by 61.0pp
VWAP 7d62.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$25.9K
90¢
$196
85¢
$2
80¢
$12
75¢
$11
70¢
$78
65¢
$228
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$43
30¢
$41
25¢
$17
20¢
$35
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$5
0¢
← now
$15.4K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xae6d…ded2No$12.2K
BUY VWAP 99.2¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.