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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners

● quote 46s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $232.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $241.4KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
4.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies
96.0¢
Seattle Mariners
1.3¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets84Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:67 trades$99.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $38.6K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$46.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$22.5K@ 49¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Seattle Mariners pressure: $3.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.0K
6h
+$61.4K
tracked
$99.8K

7 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $38.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.3¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: -48.3pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Seattle Mariners or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 25 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0x40e9…494f2 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h INVALIDATED -50.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -29.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $83 → $4.2K · 68s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Seattle Mariners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeattle Mariners · $3.0K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $61.4K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $62.9K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Seattle Mariners fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.0¢
VWAP 24h48.8¢▼ below by 44.8pp
VWAP 7d48.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.8K
60¢
$365
55¢
$0
50¢
$54.4K
45¢
$36.6K
40¢
$3.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$113
25¢
$0
20¢
$83
15¢
$579
10¢
$0
5¢
$64
0¢
← now
$2.5K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$20.3K@ 51.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.4K@ 50.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$22.5K@ 49.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennischampPhiladelphia Phillies$42.3K
BUY VWAP 50.4¢·4 fills
NiNo999Philadelphia Phillies$22.5K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.