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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: TEAM VISIONLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $3.8MEvent: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs
0.0¢
Team Spirit payout
100.0¢
TEAM VISION payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $598.0K net·16 wallets(1🐋)·$728.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTEAM VISION$499.5K@ 100¢·111111111115

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome TEAM VISION. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 16:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against TEAM VISION.

•This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 1 against Team Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against TEAM VISION. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Djdjdjekekek3 linked markets · $1.3M gross
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR3 linked markets · $150.1K gross
canoflanagan2 linked markets · $128.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

THESIS FLIPBUY Team Spirit@ 0.1¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY TEAM VISION@ 71.0¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY TEAM VISION@ 70.0¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY TEAM VISION2d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Spirit; negative values favor TEAM VISION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Spirit · $601.2K
6hTeam Spirit · $1.1M
24hTeam Spirit · $1.1M

Team Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Spirit price. TEAM VISION fills are converted to the complementary Team Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.6¢▼ below by 25.6pp
VWAP 7d25.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$690.0K
40¢
$101.2K
35¢
$137.4K
30¢
$104.5K
25¢
$49.3K
20¢
$2.5K
15¢
$11.6K
10¢
$22.5K
5¢
$36.7K
0¢
← now
$745.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTEAM VISION$56.8K@ 99.9¢
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR0x2929…1dd0
🐋—2 days ago
SELLTEAM VISION$10.2K@ 99.9¢
Skyfker0x57b4…b46b
🐋—2 days ago
SELLTEAM VISION$11.0K@ 99.9¢
sofa888880xa103…1c14
🐋—2 days ago
SELLTEAM VISION$20.2K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—2 days ago
SELLTEAM VISION$499.5K@ 99.9¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—2 days ago
SELLTEAM VISION$16.5K@ 99.9¢
notailnotail0x8d85…c436
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTEAM VISION$10.0K@ 68.0¢
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR0x2929…1dd0
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$145.4K@ 48.5¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTeam Spirit$489.5K@ 48.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—2 days ago
BUYTEAM VISION$15.0K@ 61.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekTeam Spirit$634.9K
BUY VWAP 48.8¢·2 fills
BetBadBetTEAM VISION$41.6K
BUY VWAP 80.9¢·28 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTEAM VISION$39.5K
BUY VWAP 69.4¢·8 fills
skdedTEAM VISION$38.9K
BUY VWAP 72.4¢·28 fills
0xe16d…5e30TEAM VISION$36.0K
BUY VWAP 60.3¢·5 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTeam Spirit$18.8K
BUY VWAP 37.3¢·5 fills
catbusinessTEAM VISION$13.8K
BUY VWAP 67.2¢·4 fills
0x2c33…0563Team Spirit$12.6K
BUY VWAP 35.1¢·5 fills
sdfqq1TEAM VISION$11.4K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills
UFCTRAXERTEAM VISION$10.5K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.