PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 16s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $106.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $139Event: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
48.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
51.5¢
San Francisco Giants
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$20.7K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 83 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Francisco Giants$14.5K@ 52¢·AV23IUa

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$8.2K
tracked
$20.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Cincinnati Reds · $6.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 83 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 19:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 26 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $0
6hSan Francisco Giants · $8.2K
24hSan Francisco Giants · $8.2K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h48.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d48.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$20.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Francisco Giants$14.5K@ 52.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
52.0¢$6.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
74.5¢$3.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner
58.5¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$714.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
78.5¢$613.4Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$333.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich
0.1¢$302.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AV23IUaSan Francisco Giants$14.5K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.