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Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $251.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $299.7KEvent: Augsburg: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Martin Krumich
1.3¢
Svyatoslav Gulin
99.9¢
Martin Krumich
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:113 trades$135.7K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Martin Krumich · $10.3K net·9 wallets·$14.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMartin Krumich$19.4K@ 100¢·Jeffplatter

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Svyatoslav Gulin pressure: $28.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$28.1K
6h
−$545
tracked
$135.7K

9 verified profitable wallets: Martin Krumich · $10.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -26.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Svyatoslav Gulin or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Svyatoslav Gulin and Martin Krumich in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Martin Krumich@ 73.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp
MARKET SWEEPSELL Martin Krumich@ 73.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Martin Krumich2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Martin Krumich@ 52.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: Martin Krumich DOWN 2.7pp · near-book depth $6.0K → $565 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Svyatoslav Gulin; negative values favor Martin Krumich. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSvyatoslav Gulin · $28.1K
6hMartin Krumich · $545
24hMartin Krumich · $545

Svyatoslav Gulin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Svyatoslav Gulin price. Martin Krumich fills are converted to the complementary Svyatoslav Gulin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.3¢
VWAP 24h25.1¢▼ below by 23.8pp
VWAP 7d25.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Svyatoslav Gulin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.9K
60¢
$100
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$35.4K
40¢
$7.1K
35¢
$5.9K
30¢
$12.4K
25¢
$4.7K
20¢
$17.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.8K
5¢
$32
0¢
← now
$46.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMartin Krumich$19.4K@ 99.9¢
Jeffplatter0xb399…608e
🐋—20 minutes ago
SELLMartin Krumich$18.1K@ 98.8¢0x6982…a165🐋—23 minutes ago
SELLMartin Krumich$16.8K@ 77.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMartin Krumich$15.0K@ 53.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMartin Krumich$10.0K@ 68.0¢
Jeffplatter0xb399…608e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Martin Krumich$15.0K
BUY VWAP 53.2¢·1 fill
JeffplatterMartin Krumich$13.0K
BUY VWAP 66.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.