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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $721.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:324 trades$536.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 45 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$37.6K·7 wallets(1🐋)·$56.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoomBoys (NO)$30.8K@ 54¢·111111111115

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 11:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and BoomBoys in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against BoomBoys. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vd777bond2 linked markets · $215.6K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $146.0K gross
1111111111153 linked markets · $113.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY BoomBoys@ 22.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY BoomBoys@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -56.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY BoomBoys@ 51.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -50.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY BoomBoys@ 56.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $240 → $237 · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$42.4K
6h−$73.4K
24h−$73.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h61.7¢▲ above by 38.3pp
VWAP 7d61.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$115.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$61
80¢
$911
75¢
$40.3K
70¢
$26.9K
65¢
$14.5K
60¢
$16.1K
55¢
$11.9K
50¢
$9.6K
45¢
$184.3K
40¢
$66.4K
35¢
$49.2K
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLNigma Galaxy (YES)$20.6K@ 99.9¢0xe760…f2f9🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLNigma Galaxy (YES)$17.0K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLNigma Galaxy (YES)$21.1K@ 99.9¢
Hdisllbsj0x2a21…9853
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$18.9K@ 60.6¢
vd777bond0xaabe…9158
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$20.4K@ 56.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$30.8K@ 54.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$10.0K@ 52.8¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNigma Galaxy (YES)$11.9K@ 43.0¢0x19ae…395c🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBoomBoys (NO)$10.0K@ 62.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115BoomBoys$70.3K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·8 fills
0xe16d…5e30BoomBoys$32.0K
BUY VWAP 55.4¢·6 fills
0x19ae…395cNigma Galaxy$21.6K
BUY VWAP 45.2¢·3 fills
vd777bondBoomBoys$20.0K
BUY VWAP 60.8¢·2 fills
machbutNigma Galaxy$14.8K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·4 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRNigma Galaxy$14.3K
BUY VWAP 52.3¢·4 fills
sdfqq1Nigma Galaxy$10.3K
BUY VWAP 75.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.