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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $790.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $593.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:157 trades$239.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 15 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $48.0K·7 wallets(2🐋)·$114.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit (NO)$25.2K@ 71¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win Map 1 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against Legacy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $118.6K gross
StasPanda2 linked markets · $48.0K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $42.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Spirit1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Spirit@ 51.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +24.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Spirit@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $165 → $31 · 3s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$21.3K
6h−$52.8K
24h−$52.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h20.4¢▼ below by 20.4pp
VWAP 7d20.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.0K
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$6.5K
40¢
$17.8K
35¢
$15.5K
30¢
$11.1K
25¢
$65.5K
20¢
$15.0K
15¢
$6.7K
10¢
$5.0K
5¢
$18.2K
0¢
← now
$72.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLSpirit (NO)$25.2K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYSpirit (NO)$10.0K@ 71.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSpirit (NO)$25.2K@ 71.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Spirit$43.2K
BUY VWAP 71.9¢·4 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fSpirit$18.6K
BUY VWAP 72.2¢·11 fills
0x0063…2dd2Spirit$13.2K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·7 fills
hurricanSpirit$10.0K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.