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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $682.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $143.3KEvent: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
50.5¢
YES
49.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection35Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority77Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$73.9K tracked24% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $26.5K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$26.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees (NO)$20.0K@ 50¢·thatguythatguy

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW NO SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$26.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$26.1K
6h
−$52.5K
tracked
$73.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$26.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 77

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 22 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $44.5K gross
sentrio2 linked markets · $5.8K gross
0x88c5…48152 linked markets · $15 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 50.0¢37m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 50.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$26.1K
6h−$52.5K
24h−$41.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.1¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d50.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$73.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNew York Yankees (NO)$10.0K@ 50.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—10 minutes ago
BUYNew York Yankees (NO)$20.0K@ 50.0¢
thatguythatguy0x3170…c6a0
🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYNew York Yankees (NO)$18.0K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYToronto Blue Jays (YES)$11.1K@ 50.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026New York Yankees$22.2K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
thatguythatguyNew York Yankees$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafToronto Blue Jays$11.1K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
AV23IUaNew York Yankees$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.