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Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)

Sports→Settlement: New York LibertyLiquidity: $136.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $73.1KEvent: Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty
100.0¢
New York Liberty payout
0.0¢
Indiana Fever payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Indiana Fever · $13.2K net·4 wallets·$13.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIndiana Fever$5.0K@ 51¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome New York Liberty. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Liberty" if the New York Liberty win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Indiana Fever".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 22 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Liberty" if the New York Liberty win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kingdmandan2 linked markets · $15.0K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $13.0K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $10.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Liberty; negative values favor Indiana Fever. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Liberty · $35
6hIndiana Fever · $15.9K
24hIndiana Fever · $15.9K

New York Liberty price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Liberty price. Indiana Fever fills are converted to the complementary New York Liberty probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▲ above by 49.0pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Liberty price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$35
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$8.4K
45¢
$7.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.