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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

● quote 3 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $182.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $108.1KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
0.1¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
100.0¢
St. Louis Cardinals
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$23.1K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pittsburgh Pirates · $3.4K net·4 wallets·$14.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSt. Louis Cardinals$8.0K@ 100¢·ItsLookingGoodBruv

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$7.1K
tracked
$23.1K

4 verified profitable wallets: Pittsburgh Pirates · $3.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 67 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for August 28 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $72.5K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $47.2K gross
dv-pm2 linked markets · $15.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor St. Louis Cardinals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $0
6hPittsburgh Pirates · $7.1K
24hPittsburgh Pirates · $6.8K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. St. Louis Cardinals fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h20.0¢▼ below by 20.0pp
VWAP 7d20.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.9K
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$12.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.