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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 14s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $234.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $231.4KEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
97.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
2.9¢
San Francisco Giants
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets82Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:72 trades$104.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arizona Diamondbacks · $28.3K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$34.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLArizona Diamondbacks$21.1K@ 85¢·johnny234

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Arizona Diamondbacks pressure: $11.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.8K
6h
+$369
tracked
$104.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Arizona Diamondbacks · $28.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Arizona Diamondbacks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for August 28 at 10:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: San Francisco Giants DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $9.4K → $150 · 32s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor San Francisco Giants. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArizona Diamondbacks · $11.8K
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $369
24hSan Francisco Giants · $1.9K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. San Francisco Giants fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current97.0¢
VWAP 24h64.7¢▲ above by 32.4pp
VWAP 7d64.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.1K
90¢
$40
85¢
$21.4K
80¢
$14.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$6.2K
55¢
$61
50¢
$52.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$3.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLArizona Diamondbacks$21.1K@ 85.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$13.6K@ 82.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$12.9K@ 52.0¢
johnny2340xd38a…8d26
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardArizona Diamondbacks$13.7K
BUY VWAP 54.1¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Arizona Diamondbacks$13.6K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill
johnny234Arizona Diamondbacks$12.9K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
ROI-ValueSan Francisco Giants$10.1K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.