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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $795.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.4MEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:371 trades$1.0M tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$355.9K·12 wallets(1🐋)·$420.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$145.8K@ 46¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Djdjdjekekek3 linked markets · $1.6M gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $412.4K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $84.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Team Yandex@ 100.0¢25m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Spirit1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY YES@ 55.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -47.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.1pp · near-book depth $11 → $161 · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$16.9K
6h+$216.5K
24h+$219.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.6¢▼ below by 31.6pp
VWAP 7d31.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$24.3K
50¢
$52.8K
45¢
$180.3K
40¢
$239.7K
35¢
$180.2K
30¢
$53.5K
25¢
$4.4K
20¢
$6.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$26.1K
5¢
$41.9K
0¢
← now
$191.9K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTeam Spirit (NO)$10.9K@ 99.9¢
Vladooos0x8002…8b6c
🐋—34 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit (NO)$44.4K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—44 minutes ago
SELLTeam Spirit (NO)$10.6K@ 99.9¢
notailnotail0x8d85…c436
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$12.9K@ 99.9¢
DotG0xcd36…0f01
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$10.0K@ 99.0¢
densmylove0x7045…81b5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$17.1K@ 65.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$10.7K@ 66.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$16.3K@ 65.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$41.2K@ 65.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Spirit (NO)$10.7K@ 64.8¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$40.0K@ 40.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$128.4K@ 42.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$145.8K@ 45.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$29.2K@ 41.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekTeam Yandex$356.3K
BUY VWAP 43.3¢·7 fills
111111111115Team Spirit$125.1K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·9 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTeam Spirit$24.8K
BUY VWAP 57.7¢·4 fills
0xe16d…5e30Team Spirit$19.3K
BUY VWAP 57.9¢·12 fills
0x19fb…bd68Team Spirit$17.4K
BUY VWAP 88.8¢·7 fills
machbutTeam Spirit$15.9K
BUY VWAP 72.1¢·4 fills
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRTeam Yandex$15.1K
BUY VWAP 39.8¢·3 fills
DotGTeam Spirit$12.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
catbusinessTeam Spirit$11.5K
BUY VWAP 50.6¢·4 fills
catbusinessTeam Yandex$10.6K
BUY VWAP 46.7¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.