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UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Sports→Settlement: Mario PintoLiquidity: $80.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $307.9KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)
0.0¢
Ryan Spann payout
100.0¢
Mario Pinto payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRyan Spann$45.8K@ 23¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mario Pinto. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mario Pinto at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Mario Pinto" if Mario Pinto is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mario Pinto at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Mario Pinto" if Mario Pinto is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ryan Spann@ 24.0¢9d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ryan Spann; negative values favor Mario Pinto. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRyan Spann · $4.1K
6hRyan Spann · $49.9K
24hRyan Spann · $48.9K

Ryan Spann price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ryan Spann price. Mario Pinto fills are converted to the complementary Ryan Spann probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.7¢▼ below by 22.7pp
VWAP 7d22.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ryan Spann price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$3
25¢
$510
20¢
$57.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$3.7K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRyan Spann$45.8K@ 23.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—9 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.