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Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $61.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $92.7KEvent: Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
52.5¢
Las Vegas Aces payout
47.5¢
Toronto Tempo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:39 trades$13.4K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 245 min agoofficial metadata 217 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Las Vegas Aces · $1.1K net·5 wallets·$2.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Tempo$2.7K@ 52¢·quavoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 14 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $38.7K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $3.3K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $2.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Toronto Tempo UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $67 → $410 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Las Vegas Aces; negative values favor Toronto Tempo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLas Vegas Aces · $1.8K
6hLas Vegas Aces · $3.4K
24hToronto Tempo · $5.5K

Las Vegas Aces price VWAP

Volume-weighted Las Vegas Aces price. Toronto Tempo fills are converted to the complementary Las Vegas Aces probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▲ above by 4.0pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Las Vegas Aces price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$13
70¢
$6
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$22
50¢
← now
$4.9K
45¢
$8.2K
40¢
$51
35¢
$8
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1
10¢
$0
5¢
$5
0¢
$187

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.