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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $250.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.6MEvent: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
53.5¢
TEAM VISION
46.5¢
Team Spirit
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:440 trades$748.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 57s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Spirit · $32.2K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$159.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTEAM VISION$37.6K@ 78¢·jjj1995

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

TEAM VISION pressure: $74.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$74.3K
6h
+$74.2K
tracked
$748.9K

14 verified profitable wallets: Team Spirit · $32.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 51

Since latest liquidity absorption: -3.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from TEAM VISION or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-23 12:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 3 against Team Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 3 against TEAM VISION.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 3 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 3 against TEAM VISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
jjj19952 linked markets · $304.0K gross
vtcchampion525 linked markets · $170.7K gross
Hdisllbsj3 linked markets · $123.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY TEAM VISION8m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY TEAM VISION8m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY TEAM VISION8m ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Team Spirit@ 50.0¢14m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Team Spirit UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $2.5K → $3.8K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor TEAM VISION; negative values favor Team Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTEAM VISION · $74.3K
6hTEAM VISION · $74.2K
24hTEAM VISION · $74.2K

TEAM VISION price VWAP

Volume-weighted TEAM VISION price. Team Spirit fills are converted to the complementary TEAM VISION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h52.9¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d52.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

TEAM VISION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.9K
75¢
$37.6K
70¢
$0
65¢
$14.5K
60¢
$102.8K
55¢
$55.5K
50¢
← now
$263.6K
45¢
$167.1K
40¢
$79.7K
35¢
$25.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Spirit$22.2K@ 59.5¢
Hdisllbsj0x2a21…9853
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit$21.1K@ 52.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$37.6K@ 78.5¢
jjj19950x2ba6…644c
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$14.5K@ 69.9¢
jjj19950x2ba6…644c
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$25.0K@ 54.3¢
jjj19950x2ba6…644c
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 51.6¢
muneyenjayerrr0x495d…68d8
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$10.4K@ 52.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$10.0K@ 51.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYTeam Spirit$10.0K@ 50.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—30 minutes ago
SELLTEAM VISION$14.1K@ 62.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$10.5K@ 62.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$13.1K@ 60.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYTEAM VISION$10.9K@ 58.9¢
shtkk0xa21b…e4e4
🐋—36 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

jjj1995TEAM VISION$80.0K
BUY VWAP 67.6¢·4 fills
0xf201…527eTeam Spirit$42.4K
BUY VWAP 51.2¢·11 fills
HdisllbsjTeam Spirit$37.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·5 fills
0xe16d…5e30TEAM VISION$29.3K
BUY VWAP 50.9¢·7 fills
0xf201…527eTEAM VISION$23.6K
BUY VWAP 60.9¢·2 fills
0xaaed…44f8TEAM VISION$15.0K
BUY VWAP 54.3¢·3 fills
mamo4kaTeam Spirit$14.5K
BUY VWAP 51.1¢·2 fills
MaoZeDonKTeam Spirit$13.9K
BUY VWAP 41.2¢·6 fills
skdedTEAM VISION$12.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·9 fills
shtkkTEAM VISION$10.9K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.