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Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $50.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1KEvent: Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC - More Markets
68.5¢
Manchester City FC
31.5¢
Coventry City FC
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly44Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:13 trades$21.7K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYManchester City FC$9.5K@ 68¢·Zzzz87

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$230
6h
+$5.2K
tracked
$21.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Coventry City FC · $124 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.premierleague.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coventry City FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Coventry City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $225 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Manchester City FC; negative values favor Coventry City FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCoventry City FC · $230
6hManchester City FC · $5.2K
24hManchester City FC · $20.9K

Manchester City FC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Manchester City FC price. Coventry City FC fills are converted to the complementary Manchester City FC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.5¢
VWAP 24h67.7¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d67.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Manchester City FC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$21.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Zzzz87Manchester City FC$15.9K
BUY VWAP 67.8¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.