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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $237.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $345.1KEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
0.1¢
EDward Gaming
100.0¢
Ninjas in Pyjamas
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 89%💡 22 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:245 trades$195.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ninjas in Pyjamas · $11.8K net·22 wallets·$63.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$15.6K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ninjas in Pyjamas pressure: $75.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$75.5K
6h
−$76.6K
tracked
$195.8K

22 verified profitable wallets: Ninjas in Pyjamas · $11.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 89% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ninjas in Pyjamas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-28 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

•This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against EDward Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Knights Rivals, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against EDward Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $17.5K gross
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $14.4K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $12.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: EDward Gaming DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $134 → $36 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor EDward Gaming; negative values favor Ninjas in Pyjamas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNinjas in Pyjamas · $75.5K
6hNinjas in Pyjamas · $76.6K
24hNinjas in Pyjamas · $75.0K

EDward Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted EDward Gaming price. Ninjas in Pyjamas fills are converted to the complementary EDward Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h18.1¢▼ below by 18.0pp
VWAP 7d18.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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EDward Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$3.8K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$21.3K
30¢
$47.9K
25¢
$16.5K
20¢
$8.4K
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$5.8K
5¢
$15.6K
0¢
← now
$73.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNinjas in Pyjamas$10.4K@ 99.9¢
geiyecapixie0xcae6…4f85
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$15.6K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—3 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaNinjas in Pyjamas$15.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
JustADonkNinjas in Pyjamas$10.1K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.