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LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $222.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $272.7KEvent: LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals
16.5¢
EDward Gaming
83.5¢
Ninjas in Pyjamas
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:92 trades$108.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ninjas in Pyjamas · $2.3K net·6 wallets·$11.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$19.3K@ 75¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Ninjas in Pyjamas pressure: $26.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$26.9K
6h
−$56.0K
tracked
$108.5K

6 verified profitable wallets: Ninjas in Pyjamas · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 52

Since latest large flow: +10.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 10.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ninjas in Pyjamas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-28 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

•This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against EDward Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between EDward Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Knights Rivals, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against EDward Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e2 linked markets · $11.1K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $10.0K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $8.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ninjas in Pyjamas@ 74.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Ninjas in Pyjamas UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $684 → $4.1K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor EDward Gaming; negative values favor Ninjas in Pyjamas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNinjas in Pyjamas · $26.9K
6hNinjas in Pyjamas · $56.0K
24hNinjas in Pyjamas · $68.9K

EDward Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted EDward Gaming price. Ninjas in Pyjamas fills are converted to the complementary EDward Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h26.1¢▼ below by 9.6pp
VWAP 7d26.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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EDward Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$100.2K
20¢
$6.5K
15¢
← now
$1.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$19.3K@ 74.5¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$10.2K@ 74.0¢0xd76b…e9d5🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

five5120Ninjas in Pyjamas$19.3K
BUY VWAP 74.5¢·1 fill
0xd76b…e9d5Ninjas in Pyjamas$10.2K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.