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Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $400.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $81.1KEvent: LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
8.0¢
JD Gaming
99.9¢
Team WE
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$31.6K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 47s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:JD Gaming · $3 net·2 wallets·$10 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam WE$12.7K@ 52¢·0xd570…e4f8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

JD Gaming pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.6K
6h
−$13.6K
tracked
$31.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: JD Gaming · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from JD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Team WE in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team WE".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Team WE in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team WE". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd570…e4f84 linked markets · $133.7K gross
JaJa8882 linked markets · $53.1K gross
sulumos3 linked markets · $40.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team WE UP 14.5pp · near-book depth $1.5K → $250 · 23s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor JD Gaming; negative values favor Team WE. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJD Gaming · $1.6K
6hTeam WE · $13.6K
24hTeam WE · $16.2K

JD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted JD Gaming price. Team WE fills are converted to the complementary JD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.0¢
VWAP 24h45.3¢▼ below by 37.3pp
VWAP 7d45.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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JD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.2K
45¢
$30.0K
40¢
$0
35¢
$10
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$32
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$1.6K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam WE$12.7K@ 52.0¢0xd570…e4f8🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
92.5¢$912.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner
0.1¢$902.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd570…e4f8Team WE$12.7K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.