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Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)

● quote 20s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $215.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $48.4KEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
8.5¢
KT Rolster
91.5¢
HANJIN BRION
9.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection38Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution37Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$30.9K trackedsource coverage 64%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$4.4K@ 45¢·spartachio

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

HANJIN BRION pressure: $11.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$11.8K
6h
−$11.8K
tracked
$30.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: KT Rolster · $2.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
9.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 81% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 9.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from HANJIN BRION or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster wins 3 or more games than HANJIN BRION in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster wins 3 or more games than HANJIN BRION in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vtcchampion523 linked markets · $94.2K gross
1111111111153 linked markets · $81.9K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $80.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: KT Rolster DOWN 11.5pp · near-book depth $9 → $576 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor HANJIN BRION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHANJIN BRION · $11.8K
6hHANJIN BRION · $11.8K
24hHANJIN BRION · $11.8K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. HANJIN BRION fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.5¢
VWAP 24h47.8¢▼ below by 39.3pp
VWAP 7d47.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$700
50¢
$13.9K
45¢
$8.9K
40¢
$7.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

vtcchampion52HANJIN BRION$19.7K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.