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US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Kristina Mladenovic

Sports→Settlement: Elvina KalievaLiquidity: $295.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $151.6KEvent: US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Kristina Mladenovic
100.0¢
Elvina Kalieva payout
0.0¢
Kristina Mladenovic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:19 trades$57.6K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 523 min agoofficial metadata 490 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elvina Kalieva · $30.5K net·2 wallets·$30.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElvina Kalieva$9.4K@ 97¢·swisstony

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Elvina Kalieva. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Kristina Mladenovic in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Kristina Mladenovic. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Mladenovic' if Kristina Mladenovic advances against Elvina Kalieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elvina Kalieva@ 95.6¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.4pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elvina Kalieva; negative values favor Kristina Mladenovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElvina Kalieva · $15.1K
6hElvina Kalieva · $47.3K
24hElvina Kalieva · $47.3K

Elvina Kalieva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elvina Kalieva price. Kristina Mladenovic fills are converted to the complementary Elvina Kalieva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h93.0¢▲ above by 7.0pp
VWAP 7d93.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elvina Kalieva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$41.0K
90¢
$1.0K
85¢
$2.7K
80¢
$6.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$6.2K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

swisstonyElvina Kalieva$25.9K
BUY VWAP 95.9¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.