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US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch

Sports→Settlement: Vilius GaubasLiquidity: $176.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $257.9KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch
100.0¢
Vilius Gaubas payout
0.0¢
Kilian Feldbausch payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:51 trades$83.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 75 min agoofficial metadata 41 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVilius Gaubas$30.0K@ 98¢·afraz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Vilius Gaubas. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Vilius Gaubas and Kilian Feldbausch in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Kilian Feldbausch. This market will resolve to 'Kilian Feldbausch' if Kilian Feldbausch advances against Vilius Gaubas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Kilian Feldbausch DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $26.1K → $27.6K · 51s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vilius Gaubas; negative values favor Kilian Feldbausch. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVilius Gaubas · $43.6K
6hVilius Gaubas · $39.7K
24hVilius Gaubas · $35.3K

Vilius Gaubas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vilius Gaubas price. Kilian Feldbausch fills are converted to the complementary Vilius Gaubas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.3¢▲ above by 14.7pp
VWAP 7d85.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vilius Gaubas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$51.1K
90¢
$75
85¢
$33
80¢
$39
75¢
$12.7K
70¢
$70
65¢
$43
60¢
$12.5K
55¢
$2.7K
50¢
$4.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$20
35¢
$8
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVilius Gaubas$30.0K@ 97.5¢
afraz0xca64…4f43
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

afrazVilius Gaubas$30.0K
BUY VWAP 97.5¢·1 fill
swisstonyVilius Gaubas$10.1K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.