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US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 8 daysLiquidity: $34.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.9KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchi
72.5¢
Yunchaokete Bu
27.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution81Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:8 trades$15.5K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 183 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYunchaokete Bu$3.1K@ 73¢·Jan777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$15.5K
tracked
$15.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 8 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 183 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Rio Noguchi in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yunchaokete Bu; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYunchaokete Bu · $0
6hYunchaokete Bu · $15.5K
24hYunchaokete Bu · $15.5K

Yunchaokete Bu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yunchaokete Bu price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Yunchaokete Bu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current72.5¢
VWAP 24h72.9¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d72.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yunchaokete Bu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$15.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Jan777Yunchaokete Bu$15.5K
BUY VWAP 72.9¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.