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Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?

Crypto→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $38.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $61.3KEvent: Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:5 trades$15.1K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 145 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$8.4K@ 94¢·Attack-Titan

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $2.3K
24hYES · $21.2K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h95.2¢▲ above by 4.8pp
VWAP 7d87.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.6K
90¢
$19.0K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Attack-TitanYes$13.0K
BUY VWAP 94.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.