PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

● quote 23s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $436.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $439.6KEvent: LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
100.0¢
LYON
0.1¢
Team Liquid
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly65Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:149 trades$130.0K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 21s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LYON · $8.2K net·12 wallets·$41.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$9.2K@ 51¢·0xf201…527e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Liquid pressure: $2.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.5K
6h
−$23.1K
tracked
$130.0K

12 verified profitable wallets: LYON · $8.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -34.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Team Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against LYON.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Team Liquid in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd570…e4f83 linked markets · $45.4K gross
0xf201…527e3 linked markets · $44.1K gross
aomendushen0082 linked markets · $16.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Liquid2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Liquid@ 35.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -28.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Team Liquid UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $14 → $775 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LYON; negative values favor Team Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $2.5K
6hTeam Liquid · $23.1K
24hTeam Liquid · $23.1K

LYON price VWAP

Volume-weighted LYON price. Team Liquid fills are converted to the complementary LYON probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.3¢▲ above by 28.6pp
VWAP 7d71.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

LYON price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$43.2K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$1.7K
80¢
$725
75¢
$9.7K
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$8.7K
55¢
$12.7K
50¢
$13.5K
45¢
$34.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
100.0¢$391.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$376.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane
100.0¢$2.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby
64.5¢$606.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
63.5¢$490.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Karolina Pliskova
51.5¢$447.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov
0.5¢$446.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$396.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eTeam Liquid$15.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·4 fills
aomendushen008LYON$10.0K
BUY VWAP 98.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.