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US Open WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Karolina Pliskova

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $84.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $46.7KEvent: US Open WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Karolina Pliskova
50.5¢
Hanne Vandewinkel
49.5¢
Karolina Pliskova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$21.1K trackedsource coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 262 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarolina Pliskova$7.1K@ 52¢·0x0cdf…ec9e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$5.2K
tracked
$21.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Karolina Pliskova · $4.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 262 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hanne Vandewinkel and Karolina Pliskova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanne Vandewinkel' if Hanne Vandewinkel advances against Karolina Pliskova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Pliskova' if Karolina Pliskova advances against Hanne Vandewinkel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hanne Vandewinkel; negative values favor Karolina Pliskova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHanne Vandewinkel · $0
6hHanne Vandewinkel · $5.2K
24hKarolina Pliskova · $2.5K

Hanne Vandewinkel price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hanne Vandewinkel price. Karolina Pliskova fills are converted to the complementary Hanne Vandewinkel probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h50.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d50.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hanne Vandewinkel price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$14.0K
45¢
$7.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.