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Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego

Sports→Settlement: Lorenzo SonegoLiquidity: $546.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $192.1KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego
0.0¢
Adrian Mannarino payout
100.0¢
Lorenzo Sonego payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:61 trades$90.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 57 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adrian Mannarino · $848 net·5 wallets·$8.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLorenzo Sonego$43.4K@ 100¢·Tantula

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lorenzo Sonego. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Lorenzo Sonego in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Sonego2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Lorenzo Sonego@ 67.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
Latest book event: Lorenzo Sonego UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $446 → $33.4K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Adrian Mannarino; negative values favor Lorenzo Sonego. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAdrian Mannarino · $43.5K
6hAdrian Mannarino · $26.8K
24hAdrian Mannarino · $26.8K

Adrian Mannarino price VWAP

Volume-weighted Adrian Mannarino price. Lorenzo Sonego fills are converted to the complementary Adrian Mannarino probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h18.3¢▼ below by 18.3pp
VWAP 7d18.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Adrian Mannarino price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$20.8K
35¢
$456
30¢
$19.8K
25¢
$271
20¢
$431
15¢
$3.5K
10¢
$1.1K
5¢
$35
0¢
← now
$43.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLorenzo Sonego$43.4K@ 99.9¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLorenzo Sonego$12.7K@ 57.3¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TantulaLorenzo Sonego$26.1K
BUY VWAP 60.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.