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Spread: Vikings (-10.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: DolphinsLiquidity: $340.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $570.2KEvent: Dolphins vs. Vikings
0.0¢
Vikings payout
100.0¢
Dolphins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dolphins · $38.9K net·6 wallets(2🐋)·$62.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDolphins$22.2K@ 54¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Dolphins. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Dolphins".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vikings" if the Vikings win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
maz262 linked markets · $255.9K gross
ethanaz2 linked markets · $217.2K gross
iDARKenjoyer7 linked markets · $105.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Vikings@ 47.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -22.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Dolphins@ 54.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Vikings; negative values favor Dolphins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVikings · $0
6hVikings · $8.3K
24hDolphins · $40.2K

Vikings price VWAP

Volume-weighted Vikings price. Dolphins fills are converted to the complementary Vikings probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.2¢▼ below by 47.2pp
VWAP 7d47.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Vikings price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$19.9K
50¢
$10.5K
45¢
$216.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$167
15¢
$6
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVikings$11.5K@ 46.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYDolphins$13.2K@ 54.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—3 days ago
BUYDolphins$22.2K@ 54.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—3 days ago
BUYDolphins$12.0K@ 54.0¢0xb4f9…c9a7🐋—3 days ago
BUYDolphins$10.7K@ 54.0¢
takeormake0xa38a…821d
🐋—4 days ago
BUYDolphins$19.7K@ 54.0¢
wan1230xde7b…5f4b
🐋—4 days ago
BUYDolphins$18.3K@ 53.8¢
ArielFilipino0xe18e…f826
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooVikings$61.0K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·18 fills
0x2c33…0563Dolphins$22.2K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
wan123Dolphins$19.7K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
ArielFilipinoDolphins$18.3K
BUY VWAP 53.8¢·1 fill
bands1Dolphins$13.2K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
takeormakeDolphins$12.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
HerdoniaDolphins$12.4K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·11 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Dolphins$12.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
one8tyfiveDolphins$10.1K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.