PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo

● quote 21s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $67.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.0KEvent: Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo
58.5¢
Denis Shapovalov
41.5¢
Alejandro Tabilo
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:3 trades$10.4K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 71 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDenis Shapovalov$8.2K@ 59¢·johnny234

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$8.4K
tracked
$10.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 71 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-10 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Denis Shapovalov; negative values favor Alejandro Tabilo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDenis Shapovalov · $0
6hDenis Shapovalov · $8.4K
24hDenis Shapovalov · $8.4K

Denis Shapovalov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Denis Shapovalov price. Alejandro Tabilo fills are converted to the complementary Denis Shapovalov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h58.9¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d58.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Denis Shapovalov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.2K
55¢
← now
$9.2K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic
2.5¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
0.1¢$624.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$601.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
98.4¢$518.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$431.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?
99.8¢$363.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.