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Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $2.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
38.0¢
Falcons Force
62.0¢
Vexar
6.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets60Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution46Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$6.2K trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Falcons Force · $1.0K net·2 wallets·$1.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVexar$1.5K@ 57¢·0x03dc…99e1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$940
6h
−$3.6K
tracked
$6.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Falcons Force · $1.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
6.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 6.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 17:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Falcons Force" if Falcons Force win the match against Vexar.

•This market will resolve to "Vexar" if Vexar win the match against Falcons Force.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Falcons Force and Vexar in the Exort Fiesta Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Falcons Force" if Falcons Force win the match against Vexar. This market will resolve to "Vexar" if Vexar win the match against Falcons Force. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Falcons Force UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $154 → $225 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Falcons Force; negative values favor Vexar. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVexar · $940
6hVexar · $3.6K
24hVexar · $3.6K

Falcons Force price VWAP

Volume-weighted Falcons Force price. Vexar fills are converted to the complementary Falcons Force probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.0¢
VWAP 24h43.5¢▼ below by 5.4pp
VWAP 7d43.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Falcons Force price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$122
40¢
$2.6K
35¢
← now
$2.3K
30¢
$5
25¢
$77
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.