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Winston-Salem Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Luciano Darderi

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $271.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $309.0KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Luciano Darderi
99.9¢
Botic van de Zandschulp
1.5¢
Luciano Darderi
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:127 trades$128.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luciano Darderi · $12.6K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$48.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$14.5K@ 61¢·Tantula

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Luciano Darderi pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.3K
6h
+$12.7K
tracked
$128.0K

5 verified profitable wallets: Luciano Darderi · $12.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 26 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Luciano Darderi or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Luciano Darderi in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Luciano Darderi DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $30.6K → $5.2K · 34s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Botic van de Zandschulp; negative values favor Luciano Darderi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuciano Darderi · $2.3K
6hBotic van de Zandschulp · $12.7K
24hBotic van de Zandschulp · $17.5K

Botic van de Zandschulp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Botic van de Zandschulp price. Luciano Darderi fills are converted to the complementary Botic van de Zandschulp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h64.6¢▲ above by 35.3pp
VWAP 7d64.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Botic van de Zandschulp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.0K
80¢
$2
75¢
$40
70¢
$5.9K
65¢
$0
60¢
$58.4K
55¢
$46.2K
50¢
$44
45¢
$649
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$10.3K@ 56.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$11.2K@ 40.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$14.5K@ 61.0¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$11.8K@ 61.6¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TantulaBotic van de Zandschulp$28.9K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Luciano Darderi$11.2K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Botic van de Zandschulp$10.3K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Luciano Darderi$10.2K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.