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US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Sofia Costoulas

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $255.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $85.8KEvent: US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Sofia Costoulas
99.9¢
Elvina Kalieva
5.0¢
Sofia Costoulas
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$28.4K trackedsource coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elvina Kalieva · $6.3K net·5 wallets·$6.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElvina Kalieva$6.9K@ 98¢·hd777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Elvina Kalieva pressure: $9.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.3K
6h
+$17.8K
tracked
$28.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: Elvina Kalieva · $6.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elvina Kalieva or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-02 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Sofia Costoulas in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Sofia Costoulas. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Costoulas' if Sofia Costoulas advances against Elvina Kalieva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Elvina Kalieva UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $30.1K → $634 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elvina Kalieva; negative values favor Sofia Costoulas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElvina Kalieva · $9.3K
6hElvina Kalieva · $17.8K
24hElvina Kalieva · $17.8K

Elvina Kalieva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elvina Kalieva price. Sofia Costoulas fills are converted to the complementary Elvina Kalieva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h64.1¢▲ above by 35.8pp
VWAP 7d64.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elvina Kalieva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.0K
90¢
$21
85¢
$15
80¢
$1.4K
75¢
$23
70¢
$3.6K
65¢
$2
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.6K
45¢
$7.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$4.1K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.