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Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $421.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $180.5KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Martin Damm vs Fabian Marozsan
45.5¢
Martin Damm
54.5¢
Fabian Marozsan
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:45 trades$71.7K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFabian Marozsan$9.7K@ 38¢·Tantula

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Fabian Marozsan pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.2K
6h
−$11.0K
tracked
$71.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Martin Damm · $3.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: +22.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 22.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Fabian Marozsan or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Fabian Marozsan in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Fabian Marozsan. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Martin Damm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Fabian Marozsan46m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Fabian Marozsan@ 33.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +17.0pp
Latest book event: Martin Damm DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $34.2K → $20.3K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Martin Damm; negative values favor Fabian Marozsan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFabian Marozsan · $1.2K
6hFabian Marozsan · $11.0K
24hFabian Marozsan · $11.0K

Martin Damm price VWAP

Volume-weighted Martin Damm price. Fabian Marozsan fills are converted to the complementary Martin Damm probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h49.8¢▼ below by 4.3pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Martin Damm price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$10
70¢
$2
65¢
$0
60¢
$14.5K
55¢
$111
50¢
$14.5K
45¢
← now
$25.8K
40¢
$16.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DonghuiMartin Damm$24.2K
BUY VWAP 45.5¢·3 fills
TantulaFabian Marozsan$22.1K
BUY VWAP 41.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.