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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $263.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $306.0KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
100.0¢
Milwaukee Brewers
0.1¢
Chicago Cubs
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:71 trades$128.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $2.7K net·7 wallets·$31.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$18.0K@ 54¢·Sunny24

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chicago Cubs pressure: $14.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$14.2K
6h
+$2.9K
tracked
$128.3K

7 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $2.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -56.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago Cubs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 1 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $22.2K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $8.9K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $8.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 57.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +12.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 55.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h INVALIDATED -7.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $9 → $515 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Milwaukee Brewers; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $14.2K
6hMilwaukee Brewers · $2.9K
24hChicago Cubs · $29.1K

Milwaukee Brewers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Milwaukee Brewers price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Milwaukee Brewers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.7¢▲ above by 48.3pp
VWAP 7d51.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Milwaukee Brewers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$339
55¢
$5
50¢
$19.9K
45¢
$65.7K
40¢
$26.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$19
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMilwaukee Brewers$14.2K@ 99.9¢
mazalMONSTER0x44b7…027d
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$14.3K@ 43.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$18.0K@ 54.0¢
Sunny240x2089…712e
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYChicago Cubs$14.6K@ 54.0¢
N340xfd67…ef90
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafMilwaukee Brewers$18.5K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills
Sunny24Chicago Cubs$18.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
RN1Chicago Cubs$17.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
N34Chicago Cubs$14.6K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.