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US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $115.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $490.3KEvent: US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea
46.5¢
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53.5¢
Arthur Gea
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:237 trades$235.7K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Juan Manuel Cerundolo · $48.3K net·12 wallets(2🐋)·$88.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJuan Manuel Cerundolo$17.0K@ 73¢·Gambler661

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Juan Manuel Cerundolo SETUP
What the tape says

Juan Manuel Cerundolo pressure: $25.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$25.3K
6h
+$51.2K
tracked
$235.7K

12 verified profitable wallets: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · $48.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 59

Since latest market sweep: -29.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Juan Manuel Cerundolo or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Arthur Gea in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo@ 76.0¢56m ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp
Latest book event: Arthur Gea UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $25.6K → $309 · 58s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Juan Manuel Cerundolo; negative values favor Arthur Gea. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJuan Manuel Cerundolo · $25.3K
6hJuan Manuel Cerundolo · $51.2K
24hJuan Manuel Cerundolo · $28.5K

Juan Manuel Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Juan Manuel Cerundolo price. Arthur Gea fills are converted to the complementary Juan Manuel Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h54.8¢▼ below by 8.3pp
VWAP 7d54.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Juan Manuel Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$26.1K
70¢
$47.3K
65¢
$3.1K
60¢
$6.1K
55¢
$4.3K
50¢
$21.0K
45¢
← now
$58.6K
40¢
$50.3K
35¢
$6.3K
30¢
$12.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArthur Gea$13.5K@ 59.7¢
unbeatable10xac02…8570
🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYJuan Manuel Cerundolo$15.0K@ 71.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYJuan Manuel Cerundolo$15.2K@ 73.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—39 minutes ago
SELLJuan Manuel Cerundolo$10.7K@ 75.0¢
ehsantrade0xae5c…5df7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJuan Manuel Cerundolo$17.0K@ 73.0¢
Gambler6610x4419…fcf4
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtJuan Manuel Cerundolo$30.3K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·2 fills
Gambler661Juan Manuel Cerundolo$18.3K
BUY VWAP 71.9¢·2 fills
unbeatable1Arthur Gea$15.9K
BUY VWAP 60.5¢·2 fills
alexdave888Juan Manuel Cerundolo$11.3K
BUY VWAP 37.9¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Juan Manuel Cerundolo$10.8K
BUY VWAP 41.6¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Arthur Gea$10.3K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.