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Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $329.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $124.4KEvent: Monterrey Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elise Mertens
4.5¢
Yulia Starodubtseva
95.5¢
Elise Mertens
0.3¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$60.6K trackedsource coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yulia Starodubtseva · $741 net·5 wallets·$15.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElise Mertens$7.5K@ 70¢·NiNo999

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Elise Mertens pressure: $19.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.6K
6h
−$28.7K
tracked
$60.6K

5 verified profitable wallets: Yulia Starodubtseva · $741 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elise Mertens or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-04 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Starodubtseva and Elise Mertens in the Monterrey Open, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yulia Starodubtseva' if Yulia Starodubtseva advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Yulia Starodubtseva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yulia Starodubtseva; negative values favor Elise Mertens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElise Mertens · $19.6K
6hElise Mertens · $28.7K
24hElise Mertens · $34.3K

Yulia Starodubtseva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yulia Starodubtseva price. Elise Mertens fills are converted to the complementary Yulia Starodubtseva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current4.5¢
VWAP 24h20.3¢▼ below by 15.8pp
VWAP 7d20.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yulia Starodubtseva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$25.9K
25¢
$1.2K
20¢
$3.2K
15¢
$5.3K
10¢
$12.6K
5¢
$12.3K
0¢
← now
$8

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999Elise Mertens$12.5K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.