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Winston-Salem Open: Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $191.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $227.5KEvent: Winston-Salem Open: Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth
14.5¢
Fabian Marozsan
85.5¢
James Duckworth
2.6¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets98Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority73Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:152 trades$97.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Fabian Marozsan · $5.3K net·5 wallets·$5.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFabian Marozsan$12.0K@ 64¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW James Duckworth SETUP
What the tape says

James Duckworth pressure: $20.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$20.2K
6h
−$10.0K
tracked
$97.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: Fabian Marozsan · $5.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.6¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 86% · priority 73

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from James Duckworth or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-04 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and James Duckworth in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: James Duckworth DOWN 6.6pp · near-book depth $203 → $1.3K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fabian Marozsan; negative values favor James Duckworth. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJames Duckworth · $20.2K
6hJames Duckworth · $10.0K
24hJames Duckworth · $8.2K

Fabian Marozsan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fabian Marozsan price. James Duckworth fills are converted to the complementary Fabian Marozsan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current14.5¢
VWAP 24h42.3¢▼ below by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d42.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fabian Marozsan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$6.7K
65¢
$382
60¢
$25.4K
55¢
$14.0K
50¢
$15.9K
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$16
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$723
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
← now
$0
5¢
$5.0K
0¢
$23.4K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJames Duckworth$11.9K@ 98.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—2 minutes ago
BUYJames Duckworth$11.5K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYFabian Marozsan$12.0K@ 64.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYJames Duckworth$10.9K@ 41.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NiNo999James Duckworth$12.5K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooFabian Marozsan$12.0K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
hd777James Duckworth$11.9K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpJames Duckworth$11.8K
BUY VWAP 94.1¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.