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US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $98.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $579.2KEvent: US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet
34.5¢
Dane Sweeny
65.5¢
Corentin Moutet
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:85 trades$245.1K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Corentin Moutet · $30.6K net·6 wallets·$39.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDane Sweeny$52.4K@ 33¢·11vsldfdsgfkjgos

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dane Sweeny pressure: $33.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$33.1K
6h
+$33.2K
tracked
$245.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Corentin Moutet · $30.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dane Sweeny or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Corentin Moutet in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Corentin Moutet. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Dane Sweeny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Dane Sweeny@ 33.0¢57m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Corentin Moutet@ 66.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Dane Sweeny@ 32.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Dane Sweeny@ 32.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dane Sweeny; negative values favor Corentin Moutet. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDane Sweeny · $33.1K
6hDane Sweeny · $33.2K
24hDane Sweeny · $9.2K

Dane Sweeny price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dane Sweeny price. Corentin Moutet fills are converted to the complementary Dane Sweeny probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h31.8¢▲ above by 2.7pp
VWAP 7d31.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dane Sweeny price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$53
30¢
← now
$181.3K
25¢
$78.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLCorentin Moutet$13.6K@ 66.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCorentin Moutet$10.1K@ 66.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYCorentin Moutet$44.8K@ 66.9¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDane Sweeny$52.4K@ 33.0¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

11vsldfdsgfkjgosDane Sweeny$65.8K
BUY VWAP 32.7¢·9 fills
jtwyslljyCorentin Moutet$47.0K
BUY VWAP 67.1¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Corentin Moutet$20.8K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·4 fills
StasPandaCorentin Moutet$12.4K
BUY VWAP 72.2¢·2 fills
ethanazCorentin Moutet$10.1K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.