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US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $316.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $827.3KEvent: US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli
76.5¢
Francisco Comesana
23.5¢
Flavio Cobolli
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:212 trades$381.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Flavio Cobolli · $25.1K net·12 wallets·$81.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlavio Cobolli$20.0K@ 46¢·0x760f…326a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Flavio Cobolli SETUP
What the tape says

Flavio Cobolli pressure: $108.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$108.6K
6h
−$161.0K
tracked
$381.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: Flavio Cobolli · $25.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 59

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Flavio Cobolli or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Flavio Cobolli in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Francisco Comesana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 25.0¢2m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 24.0¢5m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 56.0¢44m ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 87.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp1h INVALIDATED -41.0pp
Latest book event: Flavio Cobolli DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $29.8K → $12.7K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisco Comesana; negative values favor Flavio Cobolli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlavio Cobolli · $108.6K
6hFlavio Cobolli · $161.0K
24hFlavio Cobolli · $165.2K

Francisco Comesana price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisco Comesana price. Flavio Cobolli fills are converted to the complementary Francisco Comesana probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current76.5¢
VWAP 24h41.3¢▲ above by 35.2pp
VWAP 7d41.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francisco Comesana price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$21.9K
70¢
$44.0K
65¢
$1.8K
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$12.1K
50¢
$34.7K
45¢
$5.9K
40¢
$86.9K
35¢
$23.7K
30¢
$36.2K
25¢
$5.5K
20¢
$44.1K
15¢
$47.1K
10¢
$14.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlavio Cobolli$10.0K@ 24.7¢0x5f65…2036🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYFrancisco Comesana$14.0K@ 70.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYFrancisco Comesana$12.5K@ 71.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$20.0K@ 46.4¢0x760f…326a🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$11.2K@ 56.0¢
degenfren0x979f…4032
🐋—44 minutes ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$10.0K@ 60.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$10.0K@ 58.9¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$19.0K@ 57.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFrancisco Comesana$14.5K@ 34.7¢0x5c50…e0c9🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Flavio Cobolli$58.0K
BUY VWAP 45.7¢·5 fills
0b1feFlavio Cobolli$33.2K
BUY VWAP 84.6¢·6 fills
bands1Francisco Comesana$27.1K
BUY VWAP 70.4¢·3 fills
degenfrenFlavio Cobolli$22.5K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·3 fills
0x760f…326aFlavio Cobolli$20.0K
BUY VWAP 46.4¢·1 fill
0x5c50…e0c9Francisco Comesana$19.5K
BUY VWAP 33.7¢·2 fills
IlgatoFlavio Cobolli$14.5K
BUY VWAP 80.8¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardFlavio Cobolli$12.0K
BUY VWAP 54.8¢·4 fills
0xa0f2…1848Flavio Cobolli$11.5K
BUY VWAP 66.2¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.